Participation of the CCEW in the workshop ‘Foresight on US-China-EU Power Rivalries’
4 July 2025
On June 24 and 25, 2025, the workshop ‘Foresight on US-China-EU Power Rivalries’ took place at the LMU in Munich. The workshop brought together different expertise from academia, think tanks, politics, and the private sector to discuss different methods of future analysis. Further, the workshop served the exchange of expertise in the context of geopolitical dynamics between the EU, China and the USA. The workshop is part of the ‘Taking Process-Tracing to Scenario-Building: ‘Paths Projections’ of Conflict (De-)Escalation’ project, which is funded by the German Foundation for Peace Research.
The Center’s research associate Lena Runge was able to present a paper draft at the workshop. This paper draft discusses possible synergies between methods of early crisis warning and methods of foresight. For this, the potential of hybrid approaches was elaborated for a holistic conflict analysis approach. Further, some of the findings from the CCEW Symposium 2024 on ‘Predictive Synergies: Crisis Early Warning & Foresight’ were outlined in more detail.
In particular, the interdisciplinary workshop setting provided valuable impetus. In addition to the Centre for Crisis Early Warning, Metis from the University of the Armed Forces in Munich and the Helmut Schmidt University of the Armed Forces in Hamburg were also represented, as well as the University of Cambridge, the University of Copenhagen, the University of Ghent, the Max Planck Institute, the German Institute for International and Security Affairs, the German Council on Foreign Relations, the Global Public Policy Institute, the German Marshall Fund, the Futurium and the European Union Institute for Security Studies and a member of the European Parliament. This diversity and the mixture of methodological, theoretical and empirical contributions enriched the discussions enormously.
Picture: © Luisa Latella, LMU München
